Veiled Orb

In the last league the calculation was 3 Catarinas for 1 Orb.
In this League I've already made 15 Catarinas and no Orb

Has anyone else noticed the change? It was in the patch notes and I didn't see it?
Last bumped on Oct 28, 2024, 12:59:06 PM
Peronally, went around 80-90 Cata's since 3.25 began and only had a single Veiled Orb drop... but inb4 forum brown-nosers put in their two cents saying that loot is fine.
GGG only caters to their beloved league sheep and whales, majority of whom treat Standard like it doesn't exist. Not everyone enjoys temp leagues.

If you're a price fixer, item flipper, forum brown-noser or an advocate of P2Annoy MTX you're probably already ignored/muted. You won't get my items.
5 of 8 and 3 of 5

Drop rates fine.
Mash the clean
"
Mashgesture wrote:
5 of 8 and 3 of 5

Drop rates fine.


16 = 0 Orb
"
Andershow6 wrote:
"
Mashgesture wrote:
5 of 8 and 3 of 5

Drop rates fine.


16 = 0 Orb


That's called probability.
Dys an sohm
Rohs an kyn
Sahl djahs afah
Mah morn narr
Let's assume (only GGG knows)
True probability [1 veiled orb drops / 1 Caterina kill] = 1/3 = p

P[0 veiled orb drops / 15 Caterina kills] = p^0*(1-p)^15 (binomial distribution) = 0.00228.

So approximately 2 out of 1000 people would get such a drop rate. And of course only the edge cases will be posted on the forum.

Now let's assume:
True probability [1 veiled orb drops / 1 Caterina kill] = 1/4 = p
P[0 veiled orb drops / 15 Caterina kills] = 0.01336.

That means at least 1 person on 100 people will get 0 orbs after 15 Caterina kills.
Heart of Purity

Awarded 'Silverblade' to Talent Competition Winner 2020.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NDFO4E5OKSE
ign: Reinhart
"
Coconutdoggy wrote:
"
Andershow6 wrote:
"
Mashgesture wrote:
5 of 8 and 3 of 5

Drop rates fine.


16 = 0 Orb


That's called probability.


but that's what I'm saying, that the probability has been changed for the worse.

Do you mean to tell me that 17 catarinas and not dropping 1 orb is correct?
Last edited by Andershow6#6259 on Aug 24, 2024, 2:42:50 PM
"
Andershow6 wrote:
https://imgur.com/a/t77jAjE#f27LuB5

Do you mean to tell me that 17 catarinas and not dropping 1 orb is correct?


Yes. For the same reason people can fight 5 Catarinas and drop 5 orbs. That's how RNG without fail-safe works.
"
Scarletsword wrote:
"
Andershow6 wrote:
https://imgur.com/a/t77jAjE#f27LuB5

Do you mean to tell me that 17 catarinas and not dropping 1 orb is correct?


Yes. For the same reason people can fight 5 Catarinas and drop 5 orbs. That's how RNG without fail-safe works.


Do you think how long does it take to make 20 Catarinas?
Do, and see if it's fair.
Last edited by Andershow6#6259 on Aug 24, 2024, 2:52:37 PM

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