Are you guys sure Volatile orb is 50% chance ? I am not !

So I just bought 13 cloaks of flame, I gave all 20% quality, 6 socket, and 5 linked them.

Then I used a Volatile orb on them and only 1 was not deleted.

I am fully aware that 50% doesn't actually mean 6 cloak's will for sure be transformed. It's 13 separate rolls of each 50%, I know this .

But when you do it 13 times, and fail 12 of them, then the odds doesn't seem to be even close to 50%

I had the veiled orb take away my one suffix that i wanted to keep, instead of the two crafted meta mods, several times in a row. I suspect that tt either has something to do with the random seed, or they want you to delete your currency. THese things can be observed all over the game. It's always you that happens to have that 0,1% unlucky streak, very weird. There is no true rng in this game from what i observed. You can get screwed big time by some shennanigans. It's probably wise to log out or change instance after a couple of tries.

But as always, the rng is also a powerful mind killer ;P

Funny thing about probabilities, it needs a wide spectrum to be truthful.

Let me explain.

Let’s assume that 50% is really 50% and you gather eight people.
Each of them has a coin and is going to flip it. It’s 50/50 head or tails (let’s ignore the side profile).
Four of them get head, the other four get tail.
You split the head and the tails group.
The head flip again. Two get head and the other two get tail.
You do the same and flip again.
One gets head and the other get tail.

Now you say, yes that was a 50/50 chance and is correct which is true but for one person, it wasn’t. It was 100% chance of getting head.

If you do the same for the tail, one will get 0%.

It’s weird, I know but it happens. As you failed twelve times there might be someone that got 12 right.


Edit: By the way, this is what makes the unaware get hooked in gambling. “The next will be the one!”

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Strickl3r#3809 wrote:

I had the veiled orb take away my one suffix that i wanted to keep, instead of the two crafted meta mods, several times in a row. I suspect that tt either has something to do with the random seed, or they want you to delete your currency. THese things can be observed all over the game. It's always you that happens to have that 0,1% unlucky streak, very weird. There is no true rng in this game from what i observed. You can get screwed big time by some shennanigans. It's probably wise to log out or change instance after a couple of tries.

But as always, the rng is also a powerful mind killer ;P

Yea i agree. its like the most rare thing always get removed first :P

When i created my shield on my other character ...that MUST have "% increased maximum Life" as tier 1. I littely think i made over 3500 rerolls with alteration orb's to find "% increased maximum Life" over and over and over again.


Because each time i used beast crafted and had 3 prefix, and 2 suffix and tried reroll a random prefix into a suffix ... so i could hit "Maximum Life" aswell doing the reverse afterwards. It removed the ONLY prefix i did NOT want off, every single time over and over and over again. 33% chance for it happen. 66% chance for it to remove a prefix i wanted gone ... and still it hit the 33% most times.

I know i did WAY over 50 attempts this way and as far i can recall less then 10 time it left "% increased maximum Life" stay at most.

In the end i DID create my shield for maybe around 11 divs total cost of ingrediance bought. And they cost 30-50 div to buy in trade, so i still saved alot by crafting. But it SOOOOO frustrating to craft haha :)