Memory tears not appearing

I'm farming Eagons memory threads and everything was fine, was getting 1 like every 10 maps, but since yesterday i've run 60+ maps and not a single one. IS it a bug or a problem or am i just suddenly GIGA unlucky?

I also come into that issue, beind 200 maps in with 40% increase from tree without being able to get Memory Tears.


Edit: did 20 more map and found one, i had all voidstone unsocketed and was running natural tier 16 to try out.
Edit: found a second one after 3 maps (same setup, no voidstone + natural t16)
edit: a third one after 3 maps :^)

I haven't seen a tear since I finished the questline. I've tried 20+ kirac missions, was running fully juiced T16 maps for quite a while (enough to finish all the other atlas points) specced into Legion/Beyond and then essences. Now I am doing maps with no voidstones, no exarch/maven. I unspecc'd all my atlas points for 10-20 maps. Now I have all my points into the memory tear increased chance, maps, and scarabs. I've run non-modified White Tier, Yellow Tier, Red Tier. Nothing....

Edit: Ran a T17, 12 more T16s still no memory thread. I am putting my voidstones back in and running a variety of T16s now...

I've suffered from this as well. In the last season I had plenty of memory tears, but after the last update in late 2025 I suddenly got absolutely none anymore.
In the past months I tried to experiment on why this is happening, I read several posts that too many spawned encounters could block the memory tears from spawning. So after playing T16 map without any Atlas nodes enabled besides the 4x+10% and not influenced, I got one Tear pretty fast.
Eversince I tried to slowly increase the number of spawned encouters to find out how many (or which) it would take to block the tears, and I ran dozens of maps only with 1 or 2 encounters (harvest + Incursion), but got nothing anymore.
So eventually I gave up on it, and went back to regular juiced playing, and today I got a map with spawned: Ultimatum + Incursion + Harvest + Heist chest + Bestiary + Expedition + Blight + 1 Strongbox ... and got a Memory Tear too.
So I guess nothing is blocking them at all, they have just gotten super super rare, and the 5% spawn chance in the Wiki is not applying to me.
Just wanted to share this because I spent the last months searching in the Forum for any solution and maybe this helps someone as a reference.