Orb of Chance

Hi,

Does anyone have data on probabilities to hit certain uniques when slamming orbs of chance?

If not, is it known if certain uniques have a lower probability for a common base. For example, is Headhunter Heavy Belt a less likely outcome than a Zerphi's Genesis Heavy Belt or is it a 50/50 assuming slam is successful?



Last edited by greensol1#3626 on Dec 26, 2024, 7:04:04 PM
Last bumped on Dec 27, 2024, 1:05:30 PM
Hi, don't do it. I tried it multiple times without making profit. Smth like ingenuity belt can't be done in the first place

regarding calculations:
from poe2wiki

"
The effect of the Orb of Chance differs from its POE1 counterpart; instead, it is more similar to a Tainted Mythic Orb (or rather, a "non-Tainted" version of it).

Tainted Mythic Orb
Calculations
First, a baseline 50% chance to destroy the item is applied.
If the item survives, a weight table is constructed with weights based on all possible unique outcomes based on unique rarity tier.
If the weight sum is less than 2000, the remaining weight up to 2000 is considered chance to destroy the item.
The chance for a specific outcome can then be calculated by dividing by the specific unique's weight by twice the weight sum.
If the weight sum is less than 2000, the chance for a specific outcome can be calculated by dividing the specific unique's weight by 4000.

Estimated tier weights
Tier Weight
T0 ~3.75[2]
T1 ~27
T2 ~55
T3 ~315
T4 ~1600
T5 ~2000
Thanks mate, any chance you could send me link to that poe2wiki extract please?
bump

Report Forum Post

Report Account:

Report Type

Additional Info